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Do I Need a Trading Break?

When we want to do things for a prolonged period of time, it is necessary that we take the appropriate amount of breaks at the appropriate times. But how exactly would a trader determine when to take a break when the markets trade for 5 days a week? Before we move on to the “when”, let us first discuss the “why”. 

For starters, taking trading breaks is necessary for the long term sustainability of your trading. Let’s say that you are on a losing streak  and you are trying to decide whether to take a break or not. On the one hand, taking a break for one week will let you evaluate your system.

On the other hand, continuing to trade despite your losing streak might be what you need in order to end the streak. Although continuing to trade might sound like a compelling option, there is a possibility that you’ll end up with more losses thereby by lowering your spirits which eventually leads to the end of your trading journey.

Journaling

Now that we have established the importance of taking breaks, let us discuss exactly when you should take breaks. It is worth noting that these tips are only possible through journaling or the act of recording your trades. You can use anything from Investajournal to simply using a notebook to record your trades as long as the journal contains your entry and exit prices as well as your entry and exit reasons. Now that we have our journal, we must discuss two important metrics: VAR (Value at Risk) and Exit Notes.

Value at Risk

Value at Risk (VAR) is actually a statistical measure used by financial institutions in order to determine the risk involved in a certain portfolio. However, in the context of retail trading, VAR pertains to the amount that you are risking relative to the size of our portfolio. So lets say that you have PHP 100,000 in your portfolio, 1 VAR is equal to PHP 1000. This means that if a trade involves the risk of losing PHP 1000, then you are risking 1 VAR. 

So how can we use VAR to determine when to take a break? Well, it can be as easy as taking a break when you are down 10 VAR. This means that if your initial capital of PHP 100,000 has turned to PHP 90,000. This is the perfect time to take a break because it shows us that there is something wrong with our system. Losing 10% of your portfolio is not something that you should take lightly. This requires an evaluation of your system that usually entails virtual trading and continuous learning. 

Another metric that you can use is if you lose 5 VAR in consecutive trades. So if your capital is PHP 100,000 and you raise it to PHP 120,000 but lost PHP 5000 in consecutive trades (net PHP 115,000), then maybe there’s something happening to the market that requires you to adjust your system. In summary, you can either take a break when you’re down a certain number of VAR from your capital (regardless of win/loss ratio)  or you can take a break when you lose a certain number of VAR to consecutive trades. 

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Exit Notes

Aside from the amount that we gain/lose, we also have to look at WHY we lost/gained money. Basically, if you are losing for the same reasons (e.g. failed breakout, whipsaw) then maybe you need to adjust your system in relation to that.

An example is adding Average True Range (ATR) to your system to avoid further whipsaws. It’s easy to say that you don’t need to take a break to adjust your system but in reality, you cannot be objective with your trading setup if you have open positions.

Conclusion

It does not matter if you are a beginner or an experienced trader, everyone goes through losing streaks. In the end, we have to remember that bouncing back from losing builds character which is the primary tool that we need in order to find success. However, you do not need (nor should you)  bounce back right away. Oftentimes, a break is necessary in order in order to avoid making the same mistakes that brought us to our downfall in the first place.

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Featured Trader of the Week: Sherlon

We would like to congratulate our featured trader for this week: Sherlon a.k.a Sherlo2075

It is indeed a Happy New Year for Sherlon who showed position entry masterclass with his $ACEN forecast 29 days ago. Sherlon caught an entry in the support levels at 6 pesos and eyed $ACEN’s bull run to its all time high at 10 pesos.

This is no lucky feat as Sherlon caught a retracement 5 days after his forecast, entering another position at 6.15. Sherlon hit his target earlier than expected, initially predicting that $ACEN will reach the 10 peso levels by mid January.

Sherlon’s mastery of the Fibonacci Retracement tool makes him a very lethal position trader and helpful contributor to the Investa community. He further demonstrates his mastery with his trades in $DITO and $MM, entering $DITO initially at 6.2 and buying additional stocks at 6.31 after waiting for its retracement from 6.48. Currently, $DITO is at 13.12, earning him roughly 111% gain in 1 month from a single trade.

For $MM, Sherlon was able to catch a lower wick at 5.33 before the stock shot up to 6.25 where he intended to take profit. Sherlon really has an eye for entries, going into trades with extreme precision and always hitting the bottom of dips.

The nice thing about Sherlon’s trading style is that he always enters the bottom of the dip, levels where the price is unlikely to go further downwards. Of course, for the purpose of protecting against bear runs, Sherlon sets his stop loss right below the support level or fibonacci retracement level that he entered. This is why Sherlon rarely gets his stop loss triggered.

Sherlon is a patient trader, always waiting for the next entry in his charts. He is an excellent model trader especially for beginners, focusing on foundations of risk management and positioning. Besides the Fibonacci Retracement, Sherlon is also adept at using EMA 20, 50, and 200.

Using the EMA 200 as long term support and an indicator for a potential entry. There is not much to say about his trading style as he is a straightforward trader who likes to keep it simple, buy the dip and sell the rip. 

Congratulations to those who were able to profit from breakouts of $ACEN, $DITO, and $MM, it’s a nice way to start your year. Kudos to Sherlon a.k.a Sherlo2075 for sharing his analysis. Your FREE 1-Month InvestaPRO is on its way. 


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How to pay off debt FAST!

We have been there, staring at our credit card bill and being overwhelmed by the sums of debt we have accumulated, the interest that comes along with it, and the credit terms pressuring you to pay by a specific date as if you have not enough deadlines in your life.

The worst part about debt is that it keeps us from reaching our goals, the more of it that we have, the farther away we are from our dreams and our financial freedom. D2ealing with debt is exhausting and stressful, but it does not have to take forever to pay off. 

CONTENT:

  • What is debt 
  • How debt keeps you from reaching your goals 
  • Stigma of debt 
  • Debt as a prison 

TL;DR

  • Mind the gap (fix budget) 

Increasing Revenues 

Decreasing Expenses 

  • Avoid Credit Card spending 

Deleting Cards from Online Stores 

  • Reward yourself (with cash you have!) 

Methods 

  • Avalanche Method 
  • Snowball Method 

Conclusion 

  • What method do we recommend? 
  • Recap on the tips 

The first thing we have to do to pay off our debt is to mind the gap. This is the gap between your monthly income to your monthly spending. Having a tighter gap leaves you less room for financial flexibility, that is why there must always be a significant gap between your income and expenses. There are two ways to increase the gap, either you increase your income or you decrease your expenses. Managing to do both would be the best thing you can do.

By making the gap bigger, you can make enough room to pay for your debt in a shorter period. Try to think of anything that can help increase your gap, brew your coffee at home, prepare your own meals, eat out less, or maybe sell those old guitars you do not use anymore, anything would make a big impact. 

Next, we have to avoid credit card spending at all costs. It would not help acquiring more debt if you cannot pay off your current ones. Delete your credit card information from your favorite online stores, remove it from your internet browser, delete Shopee and Lazada from your phone, or even go as far as cutting your credit card.

It may seem like a punishment to you, but being free from debt is better than being stuck in a loop of acquiring debt and draining yourself to pay them off. Once we have established your gap and preventing further debts, we can now move on to strategies that we can use to be finally free of debt. 


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The Avalanche approach is the quickest and cheapest way of paying off your debt. You simply have to list down your debts from the greatest amount to the least, and pay the biggest debt first. This makes it so that you minimize the interest you have to pay by eliminating the biggest amount as quickly as possible, and after paying off the greatest amount, you can use the additional cash flow from paying off that debt to easily pay off the following amount, and so on. As simple as it may sound, the Avalanche approach is easier said than done.

This method makes it hard to start since you are dealing with the greatest amount first. Moreover, it is usually demotivating for you since you do not see results immediately. As humans, we love to see results quickly and not being able to get the results we want can be overwhelming. That is why in the next approach, we will be using human psychology to our advantage! 

The Snowball approach is perhaps the more effective method of paying off your debt. It is the opposite of the Avalanche approach, wherein we pay off the smallest amount first. This makes sure that we feel motivated everytime we scratch debt off our credit card bill. Even though this is not the cheapest method of paying off that debt, allowing the bank to squeeze a little extra interest from us, this method is more likely to keep you in track to your debt free life which, after all, is our goal.

In sum, we recommend that you start off small and pay the smallest debt using the snowball approach. Always remember to mind your gap, the greater the gap, the faster you’ll be able to be debt free. Avoid acquiring additional debt from the ones that you already have and finally, make sure that you are always on track. Do not forget to reward yourself every now and then, you deserve it. Paying off debt is not an easy thing to do.

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Too Young To Invest?

If you are reading this article chances are you think you are too young to invest. You also probably think that you do not have enough money and that you lack the necessary business skills needed for investing. The truth is, most people need investing as a way to safeguard their future.

For those of who are still on the fence, it is important to remember that your investing journey does not start with your first deposit, it starts with your first initiative to learn about investing. But why exactly do we need to invest and if ever, how can we start?

 

First Reason to Invest: Compounding Interest

There are two main reasons to invest at a young age. The first one is compounding interest. The earlier you start investing the more your funds accumulate. Investing is all about making your money work for you and the sooner your money works, the sooner it multiplies to create more money which will in turn create money thereby creating an endless cycle of wealth creation.

For example, If we assume a starting capital of PHP 10,000 and a compounding  interest rate of 4% per annum and let’s assume that you start at age 25, by age 70 your investment will be worth PHP 58,412 amount. However if you keep the interest rate and the starting capital constant but instead start at age 15 your investment will be worth PHP 86,464 once you reach 70. Of course this is an oversimplification and you probably won’t have the same funds when you are 15 and when you are 25 years old but try it out for yourself with values that you think are realistic. 

Second Reason to Invest: Risk

The second reason is your ability to take risks. Adults typically don’t have the appetite for risky investments the same way young people do because adults have responsibilities to their family. Therefore, by the time someone starts a family, a person’s investment philosophy should be about safeguarding the future and capital protection as opposed to significantly multiplying their net worth.

On the other hand, you being young, can take on more opportunities with your desired amount of risk with minimal downside. With this, you are more likely to learn from your mistakes earlier and start being profitable earlier.

How to Start Investing

So how exactly can you start investing? You don’t have to go to Business School, you don’t even need to go to college to invest. In the digital age all it takes is 20 seconds. All it takes is 20 seconds to follow people in the finance world on Facebook, Twitter and on YouTube. This seems like a small thing but when you see finance on your timeline, it encourages you to learn more about finance and investing. In a way, you’re planting these small ideas into your mind which will eventually turn into your drive; into your passion for investing.

But let’s say you want something more actionable, what can you do? One of the most practical things that someone can do is to allot a certain amount of time to learn about investing. This can be done an hour per week or an hour per day; it depends on your schedule and how quickly you want to learn about investing. All you need to do is to look up basic terms like “interest rates”, “investing”, “capital”, and “compounding interest” and eventually, you will never run out of things to look up.

However it is important to have savings before applying your learnings on investing. Being young does not give you an excuse to be reckless. You still have to employ risk management strategies as well as to have a “cushion” just in case your investment doesn’t go as planned.

if you still don’t know where to start you can head on to InvestaUniversity, a free stock market program filled with activities, a welcoming community, and instructional videos all geared towards helping you make that first investment and eventually, financial freedom. 


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Bottom-up Approach: An edge to navigate the markets

Amidst the Stock Market crash across the globe last March of 2020, novice traders have turned a blind eye in the markets since then. It somehow makes sense. The pandemic has caused tremendous financial damage across the world.

Although, the financial markets, especially the US stock market, started to rise a few days after the market crash of 2020. In the context of measuring the March low and the September high, the $NDX rose 84%, the SPX rose 63.5%, and the DJI rose 61%. Within six months, the stock market presented loads of opportunity to those traders who used the Bottom-up Approach to navigate the markets.

As introduced by Mark Minervini in his book “Trade Like a Stock Market Wizard: How to Achieve Super Performance in Stocks in Any Market, ” the Bottom-up approach is a type of method in selecting a stock. It is where a market participant shifts their focus on individual stocks first, then its respective industry group or sector, then its separate market index.

Through this approach, the index and any adverse event do not discourage the market participant from trading. If you have applied this method during the April recovery, then the said trader would have maximized the US market’s up move.

Figure 1: Example of a VCP pattern

The key to identifying market leaders through the bottom-up approach is to spot names hitting 52wk highs or All-Time highs exhibiting a VCP pattern in its price behavior. It is a pattern that displays contraction in its volatility from its previous data to the following or present data.

Moreover, the said stock should be in the confluence of a surge of volume when creating a new move on the upside. Various names that have hit such parameters in a respective sector will often be the leaders.

Also, during a bear market, spotting names that are creating new highs with enormous volume, while the market is doing otherwise, is a good indication that when the bull market comes, the stocks that were unveiling such features are bound to become the overall market leaders for that period. They correct the least during a general market correction and rebound the fastest during a market recovery.

On the other hand, the Top-down approach is the opposite of that of the Bottom-up approach. This method’s problem is that a market participant gets discouraged from the overall indices and market sentiment. The top-down approach would limit the trader from the outliers or the potential market leaders that would move oppositely to its respective index.


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If a said market participant adheres to the Top-Down approach, the chances are that the specific trader has loosely participated in the April 2020 rally. Wherein, these types of traders may have only grasped 5% of the overall opportunity that was offered by the financial markets.

There is no right or wrong approach to trading the financial markets. As Mark Douglas always exclaims, trading is an activity that offers the individual unlimited freedom of creative expression. Although aspiring market participants should be aware of the pros and cons of both methodologies.

Although professional traders use the bottom-up approach, wherein a trader does not rely on the opinions of other market participants; instead, they rely on their own bias towards individual names. 

Are you a trader who employs the Top-down approach or the Bottom-up approach? Let us know in the comments section below!

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INVESTAFEST gathers Business and Investments Giants in one FREE Learning Event

Catch Francis Kong, RJ Ledesma, Coach Chot Reyes, and many other high-caliber entrepreneurs and traders in InvestaFest2021 — a once in a lifetime opportunity to learn straight from the experts for FREE! Register here: http://invs.st/InvestaFestJoin

What a year! We all know how challenging 2020 was. Almost every month, we faced another heartbreaking news. Many lost their jobs, their businesses, and even loved ones. Plus, the need to endure the long isolation due to home quarantines. Vision 2020 was so clear then until these challenges came. 

Babawi tayo this is our heart when we were coming up with this event. Babawi tayo sa finances, sa business, sa career — Babawi tayo sa buhay! We want to give all of us a good footing as soon as 2021 starts. And what better way to equip ourselves against what the year will throw at us but to learn straight from the experts. 

Sama-samang uunlad this is our reason that we made this event free. Investa’s bloodline is to reach at least 10 Million Filipinos and teach them how to invest and become financially free. We believe that learning how to generate wealth and be wiser in finances must be accessible to all. And we are taking up a notch by giving you the best roster of speakers — ALL FOR FREE. 

InvestaFest2021, a FREE VIRTUAL EVENT FOR ALL, happening on January 21-24, consists of speakers coming from different industries to help you with diverse investments. We have Francis Kong and Coach Chot Reyes for holistic development; Steve Sy for E-commerce, RJ Ledesma for franchising, Noli Alleje for Real Estate, JC Bisnar for Stock Market, Jowee Alviar for Social Entrepreneurship and many more high-value speakers for various high-value topics. 

If you want to finally bounce back from the punches of 2020, then join InvestaFest and make 2021 your best year yet — now with a stronger heart and stronger finances. 

For more information, visit www.investagrams.com/investafest


 

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Pawer! The Best Investment of All Time

Maybe you are one the beginners who wants to know the best investment to make. Will I be choosing between insurances? Real estates? Stocks or mutual funds? Or should I just hire a private fund manager for my own investment? It’s up to you on what to invest.

But the best among all is investing in yourself! Investing in yourself makes a great difference before even deciding to invest on stocks, mutual funds, insurances, or real estates! Starting early in investing in yourself can give a great impact on your finances. Why is that? Because you can create a healthy and positive learning environment for you to grow!

Investing in yourself is not all about money but increasing your financial education as well. Even before pandemic, there are lots and countless of instruments that can be used for learning. Here are 5 tips on how you can create a better investment for yourself!

Tip #1: Learn from investing and financial lessons from books and eBooks!

The most common way to learn is to read! Reading dismisses a new and fresh perception. It’s not just a sole requirement in your college classes, but it will also help you learn great, substantial and significant concepts. Both books and eBooks are a springboard for learning. Here are some books you can check!

  • A beginner’s guide to the stock market by Matthew Kratter
  • Investing All-in-One for Dummies by Eric Tyson et al.
  • One Up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch
  • The Genius Habit by Laura Garnett
  • The Power of Habit by Charles Duhigg

Tip #2: Take online courses and write down your notes!

Yes, that’s right! Take online courses and get some supplementary notes that will help you learn! There are some that offers free online courses with free certificates. You can read a wide array of book selection, from science help books to finance. Here are some sites that you can check and start enrolling for free sessions!

  • Alison
  • Asian Development Banks
  • Accenture
  • Google Analytics

Tip #3: Virtual Trading

One of the fun ways to learn is through games! And that’s right you can learn from virtual trading without actually using a real money. Virtual trading is more than just a game. It serves as a learning platform for you to apply and experience a simulation with the market. You can also check our very own platform for this! You can try and have a solo play or even challenge your friends or another peer from a community!

Tip #4: Attend webinars, events, forums, live discussion, and symposiums!

Get to be engaged in a community and attend webinars and other events of the like! Some offers a free session and you may want to take advantage of that! You can also check on our very own live discussions and our online talks! Attending events like this would also help you interact with the community. You can also ask questions and have them answered. It’s a two-way learning!

Make the best investment of your life by investing in yourself. Join the InvestaFest2021 and be on your road to a better you. Click the photo to JOIN FOR FREE.

Tip #5: Watch some videos & motivational speeches about the stock market!

YouTube is one of the biggest platforms in social media. The great thing about this is you can learn from influencers, professors, and experts absolutely free! All you need is a device to watch. At the same time, you can learn from our site and check on the lessons and videos! 

Teach yourself to invest and have a fun financial journey ahead! 

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