Categories
Featured How to & Advice

Understanding P/E Ratios

As a newbie or beginner in the finance industry, some of us have encountered ‘Price to Earnings Ratio’ or commonly called P/E Ratios and wondered what does it mean and how does it help in our investing research.

In this article, we will discuss and give you the foundation of Price to Earnings Ratio including some examples that you might need for reference. Let’s start!

The Price to Earnings Ratio is commonly used by investors to get a quick idea of how the market values a certain company.

It is a ratio for valuing a company based on its current share price relative to its per-share earnings. It is also called the price multiple or the earnings multiple because it shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of a company’s earnings.

For example, if a company’s P/E Ratio is 10, then an investor is willing to pay 10x for every P1 a company earns. It is more so a way to recognize how the market currently perceives a stock than its actual valuation, as it takes into account the market price. It gives a glimpse into how investors view or value a certain company, and helps determine a company’s market value as it shows what the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its past or future earnings.

Formula

Price to Earnings Ratio = Market Value (Stock Price) per share/Earnings per Share
The Earnings per Share (EPS) is calculated by dividing the net profit by the number of outstanding shares. It indicates how much money a company makes for each share of its stock. A higher EPS indicates that the company has more value, as it makes more for each share of stock.

Two types of P/E ratios are commonly used: Forward and Trailing P/E. The Forward P/E ratio uses future earnings as guidance, hence why it is also called “estimated price to earnings”. Figures used are predictions of future earnings, and this ratio is useful if you want to compare present earnings to future earnings. The Trailing P/E, on the other hand, relies on past performance and the company’s earnings over the past 12 months. Compared to the Forward P/E, it is more objective, as the figures are factual rather than predictions.

Importance of P/E Ratios

The P/E Ratio is best used when making comparisons, either between different companies in the same industry or against the company’s own historical records. The P/E ratio standardizes stocks with various prices and earning levels, making it easier to compare various stocks.

A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are expecting a higher earnings growth in the future, because at present, people are willing to pay more per share. It means that the price is much higher than the EPS, suggesting that the market values a certain company greatly, indicating positive future performance and high growth expectations. However, it is not always a good thing, as a company may be overvalued or may not be able to deliver on the high expectations. As such, investing in a company with a high P/E ratio is considered a riskier investment. On the other hand, low P/E ratios suggest that a company may be undervalued, meaning that at the moment, it is a good bargain. Investors can opt to buy now and reap profits in the future, when the stock price goes higher as a result of the market correcting it. If a company is experiencing losses or has no earnings, its P/E ratio will be posted as N/A because the earnings fall below or are equal to 0.

Examples

Company A and Company B

Company A trades at P50 per share, and Company B at P70 per share. At first glance, Company B seems more expensive and more highly valued; however, by using the P/E ratio, we can reach a better conclusion.
Let’s say that Company A’s earnings for the fiscal year is P20M and they have 3M outstanding shares. This would make their EPS P6.67 per share. Plugging that into the P/E ratio equation, its P/E ratio would be P7.5. This means that investors are willing to pay 7.5x for every P1 earned by the company.
For Company B, let’s say that its earnings for the fiscal year is P15M and they have 3.5M shares outstanding. This would make their EPS P4.29. Plugging that into the P/E formula, the P/E ratio would be P1.5: investors are willing to pay 1.5x for every P1 earned by the company.

By standardizing the prices using the P/E ratio, we can see that Company A is valued much higher than Company B. As an investor, you could buy Company B now at a bargain because the market is undervaluing it. Another choice is to invest in Company A because investors are confident in its future growth, though it is more risky of a choice.

Company C and Company D

Company C and D both trade at P40 per share respectively. This does not mean that they have the same value and potential for growth; let us use the P/E ratios to get a more conclusive answer.
Let’s say that company C earned P20M for the fiscal year, and have 5M shares outstanding. This would make their EPS P4 per share. Plugging that into the P/E formula, the P/E ratio would be at P10, meaning that investors are willing to pay 10x per P1 earned.

For Company D, let’s say that they earned P30M for the fiscal year and have 6M outstanding shares. Its EPS would then be P5 per share. Plugging that into the P/E formula, the P/E ratio would be at P8, meaning that investors would pay 8x per P1 earned.

By using P/E ratios, we see now that though their market price may be at the same level, it doesn’t mean that their underlying value is the same. By being aware of these ratios, we can make choices that are better suited towards what we want to get out of our stock choices.

As a last note, it is important to remember that there are no set rules when dealing with P/E ratios. The P/E ratios could mean various things depending on the industry or other factors. It is necessary to use these ratios along with taking into account market conditions and world events.

Categories
Featured News & Features

Investa Pro League Round 2 Competition Rules And Mechanics

Welcome to the second round of INVESTA PRO LEAGUE!

THE CHALLENGE JUST GOT BIGGER AND BETTER. ARE YOU READY?

As traders, to achieve consistent results we have to be able to commit to mastery. We must be willing to face challenges that will help in our growth in this craft. What better way to achieve continuous improvement than to hone your skills, test your strategies, and compete with fellow traders in this another round of one-month competition?

The Investa Pro League is open to ALL. The competition will run for ONE (1) MONTH from August 3, 2020 until August 28, 2020.

Winners and Prizes:

The top three (3) participants with the highest account value at the end of the trading round will be announced as the winners.

Each winner will receive a corresponding cash prize as follows:

1st Place: PHP 50,000.00
2nd Place: PHP 30,000.00
3rd Place: PHP 20,000.00

MECHANICS

1. Registration Process:

A. You must have an Investagrams account. If you don’t have one yet, you can sign-up here for FREE.
B. Anyone can join the competition. Participants may register until August 2 (Sunday), before the competition officially begins on August 3 (Monday).
C. Registration comes along with a subscription of InvestaPro and InvestaPrime to help you have an edge on your trading game.
D. Complete your payment through Credit/Debit Card, Bank Deposit/Transfer, 7–Eleven (Coins.ph), M-Lhuillier, or Cebuana Lhuillier. You will be notified once your payment has been confirmed.
E. Validation of ID. From your Transaction Invoice, or when you click on “Investa Pro League 2020” competition room under the Virtual Trade tab in Investagrams, you will be led to an instructions page in order to validate your identity. If you haven’t uploaded your Proof of Identity yet, please do so, as this is a required step for all participants. Once approved, you will receive a notification and your Proof of Identity under Account Settings will already be marked as Completed. Access to the official competition room will be granted.
F. Important note: Only one (1) entry and account per person is allowed. If you have more than one (1) account to join the competition, you will be disqualified immediately.

Click here to proceed to registration: http://invs.st/InvestaProLeagueRound2

2. Investa PRO League will be accessed through the Investagrams Virtual Trading Platform (https://www.investagrams.com/vTrade) and participants will start with Php 100,000.00 virtual money to trade.

3. Participants can only trade liquid and actively trading stocks (we have filtered out which stocks fit this criteria) and have taken out illiquid names that have wide spreads that can be easily abused. The whole stock list can be accessed once you are accepted into the competition. The tradable stock list can be changed.

4. Upon buying a stock, you can only sell it after 20 minutes. This will protect the competition against ‘rinse-and-repeat’ abuses on illiquid stocks that are not realistically in-line with real market mechanics.

5. To promote diversification, maximum exposure in a single stock can only be 1/3 or 33.33% of the portfolio. This requires the participant to buy at least 3 different stocks should they want to fully invest their portfolio. The system won’t allow you to allocate more than 33.33% in a single stock.

6. Buying and Selling Conditions. Participants now have two options when transacting. The first option is to transact using the current price of the stock and use market orders to buy and sell specific stocks at their real-time prices. The second option is to transact using our new LIMIT ORDERS. By using Limit Orders, you won’t need to watch the market the whole day in order to transact in the market.

  • Buy – You can buy the same stock multiple times within a day.
  • Sell – You can only sell the same stock two (2) times in a day. This will be strictly observed in order to avoid abuse. This includes selling in TRANCHES. Example: If you bought 1000 shares of $SMPH at 29 then sold 300 shares at 29.10, then you have only one (1) sell transaction left for $SMPH within the day.

7. Holding period for all stocks

  • We will be applying the twenty (20) minute time lock for taking profits to ALL STOCKS to avoid widespread and rinse-repeat trades. There are instances where specific names are simply bought due to the 2-2.5% widespread sold after 5 minutes once the stock has been ticked up.
  • There will be no timelock or restrictions when selling at a loss.

8. Revision of Tradable Stocks. Investagrams has the right to remove any stock from the list should it suddenly become too illiquid, abusable and/or delisted. Furthermore, Investagrams may also add new stocks on the tradable list as new stocks become more active and tradable in the market. All changes will be announced before implementation.

In such cases that a stock is to be removed, we will follow this process:

  • Investagrams shall notify all the participants via the Investagrams Platform before the market opens.
  • If you still have the stock in your portfolio, you can sell it at any point in time at your discretion.

9. Initial Public Offering (IPO). All upcoming IPOs that will happen while the Investa Pro League is on-going will be added on its SECOND (2nd) trading day.

10. For stocks that will be detected by our WIDE-SPREAD DETECTION SYSTEM (WSDS). The Wide-Spread Detection System’s main condition is that the first (1st) best bid and ask should never be more than 2% at any moment during open market session.

Fig 1. Real-time Market Depth / Orderbook showing the first (1st) best bid-ask data.

Example: $ATN (Refer to Fig. 1)
Given:
1st best bid = 1.11
1st best ask = 1.14
Formula:
X = (1st best ask – 1st best bid) / 1st best bid
Condition:
If X is greater than 2% then WSDS detects that the stock is wide-spread and can be abused.
Solution:
X = (1.14 – 1.11) / 1.11 = 0.02700 x 100% = 2.70%

Verdict:
Since X is greater than 2% then the stock is wide-spread as computed by the system.

  • The participant will be given a prompt that the detected stock is not tradable upon executing a buy or sell transaction.
  • The stock will again be tradable once the system detects that the spread of the 1st best bids/asks are below 2%.

11. On Trading Abuses.

  • Day trading opportunities on natural market moves are normal, but please take note that Investagrams will be on full-guard against participants that abuse illiquid opportunities. We want our winners to show real trading skills that are applicable in the PSE. Abuse of intraday spread trades will NOT BE TOLERATED. These rules are set to protect against the usual ‘rinse-and-repeat’ abuses that are mostly used in virtual trading competitions like this.
  • Read more about ‘rinse-and-repeat trading abuse’ here and why this is not characteristic of a realistic trading strategy.
  • Any player that has more than 10% of their profits from rinse-and-repeat wide spread, illiquid and other abusive trades will be penalized or DISQUALIFIED depending on the severity of their offenses. We will be able to validate this through our data and algorithms that verify the historical transactions of each participant.
  • Any form of hacks, cheats, and abuses shall not be tolerated and will have corresponding repercussions. Suspicious behavior that may not be specified in the rules may also be flagged as ‘abusive’ trading behavior. Warning shall be sent after Investagrams has reviewed and confirmed that the actions are against the integrity of the competition. All trade records shall be verified and those who fail to follow the rules will be disqualified.
  • Participants will only be given ONE (1) warning, any participant who has constantly repeated any abusive trading behaviors (whether illiquid stocks, system abuses, loophole abuses) will instantly be DISQUALIFIED. Investagrams has the right to review any suspicious activity, and if the behavior is deemed inconsistent with real life trading then the said player shall be disqualified.
  • Questionable Transactions. Questionable transactions will be cross-checked through the buy and sell transaction time and the traded stock. Stocks that have more than 2% consistent gaps in the one (1) minute timeframe within the transaction period shall be deemed invalid and Investagrams has the right to deduct the profits from the said transactions. It is normal to trade natural intraday moves and gaps can really happen, but if a participant is constantly trading stocks that have gaps within one (1) minute timeframe and their profits from these kinds of scenarios make up more than 10% of their total profits, then he/she will be automatically disqualified.

Fig 2. Example 1 for one (1) minute time frame gaps with buy (green arrow) and sell (red arrow) transactions

Fig 3. Example 2 for one (1) min. time frame abusable 2% gaps

Fig 4. Example 3 for one (1) min. time frame abusable 2% gaps

Investagrams will warn the player that is proven to be constantly transacting with illiquid stocks with 2% one (1) minute gaps. Basically, any stock that has 2% spreads and do not really have a trend is included in this definition. After the first warning, any player that is proven to repeat this kind of behavior shall be disqualified.

12. Trading Halt. Stocks that are on a trading halt will not be tradable during the halt and will be tradable again during the announced lifting time.

13. Trading Hours: Weekdays from 9:30AM – 1:00PM (This is the current PH trading hours and will be changed once the enhance community quarantine is lifted. Meaning, you can’t trade during off-hours and on weekends.)

14. Participant rankings are constantly updated every 10-minutes and automatically ranked by Investagrams system according to net profit gain/loss.

15. At the end of the competition, the participants with the highest net profits will win. The top 1 to 3 participants shall be announced the official winners.

16. Modification and adding of rules. Investagrams has the right to modify the rules of the competition and add protective measures against any future abuses that may arise to ensure the integrity of the Investa Pro League. Announcements shall be made if there are any changes. Rest assured, we prioritize keeping the competition as FAIR as possible to all participants.

17. Ignorance of the rules is no excuse. All participants are expected to have read and understood the rules and mechanics of Investa Pro League. These are published for the participants’ information and protection. Ignorance of these rules and mechanics is not an acceptable excuse for violation.

18. Joining the Investa Pro League means that you agree with all the clauses mentioned above.

19. If you are part of the Top 3 winners, the FINAL DEADLINE to claim your cash prize is on SEPTEMBER 30, 2020. The cash prize will not be given anymore past this date.

Click here to join Investa Pro League Round 2

Categories
Featured How to & Advice

Rainy Day Reading List

Though we are slowly easing out of ECQ and some semblance of normalcy can be seen, many of us still have much more time on our hands than we are used to. Plus, with the rainy season fast approaching, the cozy atmosphere makes for the perfect time to delve into books! Below we have compiled a list of books to read, ranging from business and finance to fiction books perfect for rainy days or whenever you feel like letting your mind wander away from reality for a bit.

The Power of Habit (2014) by Charles Duhigg

We all know that habits are an essential part of our lives – but this book goes even deeper in showing that habits are present in every single thing we do. Finding the right habits and understanding how to stick to them is essential to success, and this book dives deep into what exactly habits are and how to mold them into self-propelling drivers for success. It goes across the globe, from top companies to the Civil Rights Movement, to explore just how essential habits are in creating success.

Rich Dad Poor Dad (1997) by Robert T. Kiyosaki

One of the most well-read non-fiction books, it teaches valuable lessons about money. One of the key takeaways from Kiyosaki’s book is the importance of investing early and instilling this in the youth. Many lessons can be learned about the value of money, how to make it work for you, and how to make the most of what you are given.

The Essays of Warren Buffet: Lessons for Corporate America (Fifth Edition, revised 2019) by Warren Buffet and Lawrence Cunningham

This collection is like a treasure chest for would-be investors – with tips and tricks from one of the most prominent investors in the world, this book provides knowledgeable insights on the stock market and how to work around it with ease. This is a collection of letters written to Buffet’s shareholders throughout the years, giving any reader insider knowledge on the workings of one of the most successful investors of all time.

The Intelligent Investor (1949) by Benjamin Graham

A cult classic for investors, this book has laid the groundwork for many prominent trading philosophies today. Warren Buffet himself swears by this book, and though publishes more than 50 years ago, its trade secrets still hold true today. Though not the easiest book to digest, the concepts introduced are definitely worth the read.

Grit (2016) by Angela Duckworth

A must-read for anyone struggling to find meaning in their work, set direction in life, or simply just looking for some extra motivation. Each page is packed full with wisdom and scientific knowledge to back up claims about motivation and hard work, allowing everyday readers to gain a deeper understanding of what it takes to truly find the drive and motivation to persevere. It is easy to follow along with and an engaging read, sure to captivate readers of all ages and professions.

The Bluest Eye (1970) by Toni Morrison

The first novel by Pulitzer Prize-winning author Toni Morrison, this novel has become a hallmark of the fight against racism in America. It explores the early life of a young, African-American girl named Pecola who faces oftentimes subverted but sometimes painstaking, blatant racism in the years following the Great Depression. Told through the point of view of people around her, it paints a clear picture of just how deep the roots of racism grow in American culture.

Kafka on the Shore (2002) by Haruki Marukami

By world-renowned Japanese author Haruki Marukami, this book is often praised to be the best book to start with by the author. It was named one of the 10 Best Books of 2005 by The New York Times, and engages readers with its enticing use of language and imagery. Telling the intertwining stories of a young boy and ageing man, it paints a picture that is detached from reality with its magic realism, yet is strangely able to hit home at the same time.

For more book recommendations, watch this.

Categories
Featured News & Features

Investagrams Featured Trader of the Week: Secret Jockey

For our featured trader of the week, we have chosen Secret Jockey a.k.a. @buhospamore for his/her efforts in engaging the community!

Often when you scroll through the posts in the Investagrams platform, it is common for most users to talk about their different stock picks as well as why they believe in them. Although these posts are able to provide information, it is often refreshing to see a user who talks about the principles and processes involved in trading.

Secret Jockey is one of these people as some of his posts are addressed to newcomers to the stock market.

In one of his posts, the terminologies used by veterans are listed down. Although these are only the basic terms used, newbies would most likely appreciate it as it can be confusing to follow the thoughts as well as conversations of traders in the platform without knowing what some of the terms used actually mean.

Another post, directed towards newcomers again, holds especially true in light of recent events. Ever since the bloodbath occurred where the $PSEi rapidly fell towards the 4,000 levels, there has been a sudden influx of interest in investing. We’re sure most of you traders out there have received a message or two from a friend or acquaintance asking for tips on how to invest in the market. As one of our missions is to increase the financial literacy of Filipinos, we implore non-investors to participate in the stock market. However, what we would like to encourage is responsible investing.

Investing and trading isn’t about just putting money in the markets and then calling it a day, just waiting for a profit. As mentioned by Secret Jockey, there is no easy money. The simplest way to put it is that investing is simple, but not easy. You don’t have to be scared of not being smart enough because the market doesn’t care about who you are; it cares about the conscious effort that you put into making sure that your capital is safely compounding itself.

As the saying goes, there is nothing worth it that doesn’t come with the price of effort and time. If you’re hesitating because you don’t know how to start, don’t fret! That’s why we’re here. You can head on over to the Investagrams platform and find various informative articles that tackle how to start investing (READ: How to Start Investing in the Philippine Stock Market).

Just head on over to the “Learn” tab on the upper right side of the webpage and enjoy the curated content that we update from time to time in order to help more people become comfortable with the stock market.

Last but not the least, our featured trader also shared a relevant piece of information that all traders should know. (ORIGINAL POST HERE: https://www.investagrams.com/Post/buhospamore/1109748)

Although we have seen quite a few rallies these past few weeks, it can still be said that the equity markets aren’t out of the woods just yet. In just a snap, we could go back to a strong bear market that could easily wipe out gains and cut down the amount of opportunities available.

Whether you’re a novice or a veteran trader, this advice holds true: always try to sharpen the saw. Find your edge, or in layman’s terms your advantage, and make it as sharp as possible. Also, if the state of the market is not suitable for your edge, then don’t be afraid to sit out. You don’t have to be a genius that catches every move in order to be a good trader.

Warren Buffett, an icon in investing, likened stock trading/investing to baseball and said that “in this game, the market has to keep pitching, but you don’t have to swing. You can stand there with the bat on your shoulder until you get a fat pitch.”

Again, we would like to congratulate Secret Jockey for being our featured trader of the week by being a team player towards the community. You will receive FREE 1-month access to InvestaPRO!

Categories
Featured How to & Advice

Going Global: Diving into Trading

This article is a continuation of the Going Global series. If you haven’t read the recent article, check it out here: Going Global: To Invest or Not to Invest?

Now that we have an understanding of the US markets and have been introduced to international trading as a whole, it’s time to truly begin our trading journey. To truly understand the markets, we must dive into them ourselves; however, this in itself is not an easy task! Below, outlined are some steps you can take to begin your journey and make sound decisions with regards to trading through a broker. We have also provided information on trading independently on international markets, if that is the route you want to go. There’s no better time to start trading than today, so read on to for some tips on doing just that!

Brokerage Trading

Many Filipinos opt to trade through a broker as it is easier and more hands-off. If you do not want to invest all your time into monitoring the market, trading through a broker is the best option. The broker is able to make decisions for you and put your money in different funds that will grow over time without the need for constant monitoring. However, not all brokers are created equal; here are some steps to finding the right one:

1. Know your needs and your current financial standing.

Before looking into brokerage options, it is important to understand what it is you want to get out of your broker – do you want them to make all the decisions for you? Or do you want them to provide advice, but you still make the final decision on your investments? Knowing the answer to these questions will be a big help when communicating with potential brokers, as you will know exactly what you want from them. At the same time, it is crucial to have a firm understanding of how you are doing financially. Evaluate how much you are able to shell out for investments for easier and quicker communication between the two parties.

2. Based on your needs, research on potential brokers.

There are many brokerage firms in the Philippines, differing in the amount of commission they charge and the extent of services provided. Look for reviews online and get background information on the company as well. This will allow you to gauge whether the company is handling the money given to them well and if they are able to generate an adequate return on investments. Additionally, it would be helpful to get the opinions of friends, as they will be able to give honest, real-life advice.

3. Narrow down your brokerage options.

This will depend on the research you were able to do on the companies, how much they charge, and whether they are providing the best services that cater to your needs.

4. Contact brokers.

Before finalizing a brokerage company, it is important to communicate with them. This will be helpful in understanding whether they provide great customer services as well as to iron out any other concerns you may have. Having a voice call or any form of communication with them will also help you understand whether this is the right broker for you.

With those steps in mind, the best thing to do is to do your research thoroughly and don’t jump in empty-handed. You must have a clear understanding of what you are getting into, as this is a big investment to make. To start with, some top brokerage firms in the Philippines are COL Financial, BPI Securities, and First Metro Securities; however, there are many others out there, so be sure to still do your research!

Online Trading Platforms

Another way to trade internationally is through online trading platforms. This is for traders who want to take a more hands-on approach, and are interested in investing beyond just the benefits it reaps. This way requires more time and effort but is especially rewarding when you see the fruits of your work. Below are two trusted trading platforms to kickstart your journey.

eToro 

eToro is a social trading company that provides a platform to trade assets such as Forex, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and more. Importantly, they have a patented CopyTrader addition that allows you to copy the trading portfolio of successful users. For beginners, this proves especially useful if you do not want to invest your time heavily in monitoring the market. There are no commission fees when trading on the platform, and blue-chip companies such as Apple, Facebook, and Amazon are readily traded. They have various educational materials such as blog posts and articles that provide knowledge on the financial markets. Overall, eToro is a great platform to use if you are just starting your trading journey, but still want the freedom to make your own trades.

XM

XM is an international investment firm and an industry leader in providing trading platforms and tools. It delivers trading services in Forex, US equities, energies, precious metals, and indices. Additionally, XM provides its users with free account managers, financial market tutorial videos and webinars, live help, access to Forex data and analytics, and many more. For users that are still wary about entering international markets, XM provides the option to open a demo account, allowing you to trade up to $100,000 in virtual cash. Users can opt to start trading in real financial markets for as low as $30 to open an account. Given its wide array of services and tools it offers, it may be overwhelming to those who do not have as much experience in trading. However, they also offer many research and education tools, including live training and technical summaries, which will help ease the worries of many beginners.

With all this new information in mind, it may get overwhelming to narrow down your choices and begin, but do not be daunted! As with any new venture, the beginning is always the hardest part; however, once you get into the groove of it, the whole process becomes enjoyable. With this in mind, we hope that you will be able to begin your journey with confidence. The best time to start investing is now!

The Going Global series aims to introduce traders, whether beginners or advanced, to the international stock markets. Throughout this series, we will explore the pros and cons of international investing, how to kickstart your international portfolio, and many more tips to navigate this more complex trading world.

Categories
Featured How to & Advice

The Future Looks Online: How the Pandemic is Shaking Up the Financial Industry

The financial sector is an integral part of the economy. It provides support to individuals and businesses, allowing them to participate fully in markets. The financial industry is crucial to the economy, and if that fails, its failure ripples towards all sectors of society.

Take the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 that caused a global recession. More than a decade later, we are faced with yet another economic challenge; this time not caused by a housing bubble, but something even deadlier ー a virus that has spanned the entire globe, COVID-19.

Immediate Responses of the Financial Industry

Because of the measures introduced to slow the spread of the virus, banks are faced with difficulty in providing support to customers. As such, it has been of utmost importance for many banks to shift to online services quickly, while still being able to maintain efficient customer support. Banks must make possible and encourage online transactions by improving their online banking platforms ー providing tutorials for their online services and increasing their capabilities ー making it easy and accessible for anyone to transact remotely. It has been a top priority for many banks to improve their online services, and make the necessary adjustments not only with customers but also with the workflow of their employees. Even more crucial, they must ensure that these systems are sustainable. There is no end in sight for this pandemic, with social distancing measures here to stay, so they must make sure that these adjustments will work in the long-run.

With the numerous changes affecting every sector of society, it is now more important than ever for every sector to introduce change into their systems and assess their impact on society as a whole. The changes hit the financial sector quite strongly, but there is a need for business to go on as usual, given that banks provide an essential service to individuals and businesses. This pandemic, and the “new normal” it is introducing, requires increased customer support from the financial sector’s end and, most importantly, innovation and change towards more technologically-reliant methods of banking.

Looking Towards the Future

Even after the world has seen the worst of the pandemic, it will take years for society to return to any form of normalcy. While crises are difficult, it is also an opportunity for those who choose to take it. In the financial industry, it creates an opportunity for collaboration between traditional banking firms and more technologically-advanced firms, such as fintech startups. Fintechs are more well-placed to deal with the crisis at hand, as they already heavily rely on technological innovation. However, due to decreased economic activity and stock market crashes, investments will be geared towards safer avenues; thus, investments in startups may slow. On the other hand, traditional banks are not as well-equipped to deal with this change and can take cues from fintech on how to innovate their technology to provide smooth online services. There is a need for fintech to collaborate with traditional banks to secure funding, and traditional banks to look towards fintech for help with technological innovation. Already, there have been several collaborations between banks and more technologically-advanced firms before the pandemic began. Moving forward, banks should use this opportunity to collaborate even further with tech startups in an effort to create banking ecosystems that will ultimately make the banking experience more user-friendly and accessible.

What now?

This pandemic has shown that banks do play an integral part in the economy, and are doing their part in helping boost it. However, this could also prove to have negative effects on them in the long-run ー by introducing low-interest rates, it could be a struggle to bring the rates back to usual once the economy stabilizes. It is too soon to predict the future of our economy, and no one knows for sure how long it will take to bounce back. Government stimulus programs, low lending rates, and softened payment terms have proven to be beneficial, but looked at from a long-term perspective, if the economy continues to decline, the blow still goes to the banks who face defaulters and losses. Banks must then be able to balance being supportive and lenient with businesses, while still maintaining their security by cutting off those who they know will be unable to pay back. This may cause a public backlash, and turn around the increasingly positive view on the industry. In England, many banks, such as HSBC, have already suspended their dividends, which right away caused steep drops in their share prices.

With the future still unclear, the survival of banks ー and the world ー still ultimately boils down to how well governments are able to handle the pandemic. No matter how much industries prepare for the worst, the stimulus packages introduced by governments will not last forever, and the root problem still goes back to the public health crisis at hand. Moving forward, this pandemic serves as a critical juncture where many changes have been introduced. History has shown that during critical junctures like this, the winners and losers truly depend on who is able to innovate. Those who are able to adapt quickly will come out on top and survive, while those unwilling to adapt will lose steam and credibility quickly.

危机 ー the Chinese characters meaning crisis. It is made up of two characters: the first symbolizing danger, the second for opportunity. While crises pose imminent threats and are often difficult to overcome, there is always a silver lining to it. Those who are quick to take advantage of the changes brought about by crises are the first to reap its benefits, seizing an opportunity to expand, innovate, and foster habits for success that are built to last.

Categories
Featured How to & Advice

Going Global: To Invest or Not to Invest?

With all this information regarding foreign markets already laid out, it’s time to put it into practice by beginning our trading journey! However, you may be asking yourself if now is even a good time to be making investments. Given everything that is happening, it may seem risky to be putting our money into unstable markets. The ongoing pandemic has turned out to not only be a health crisis but an economic one as well. Markets have been crashing and countries are struggling to keep their GDPs afloat. In this article, we will be looking into how markets are doing around the world, and how to invest in a truly uncertain time such as this.

Philippine Markets

A recent InvestaDaily article about Investing in the time of COVID-19 touched on how industries in the Philippines are doing given the ongoing pandemic.

The stock market plunged by 6.8%, and industries such as tourism, entertainment, and automotive have not been spared by huge losses. According to the British bank HSBC, our GDP contracted by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2020, and they predict a 7% contraction in the second quarter, 4.3% in the third, and 3.9% in the fourth, bringing the full-year contraction rate to 3.85%. The entertainment industry will see a revenue loss of 82.3%, while the travel industry will see an 81.9% loss. Our unemployment rate is at an all-time high of 17.7%, with 4.9 million Filipinos unemployed. These drastic numbers were brought about by the harsh ECQ, putting many individuals out of business.

Additionally, the drastic quarantine measures instilled a high level of fear in many Filipinos, reflecting in our consumer spending habits. Even as we are easing out of ECQ, the fear instilled during those 3 months stops many from buying goods, leading to a drop in consumer demand, and ultimately, large layoffs and companies shuttering. Though these facts may be concerning, there is still space for investments and opportunities if one looks in the right place. With many still stuck in their homes and practicing social distancing, technology has been brought to the forefront of this “new normal” we are seeing. A huge shift in online means of conducting business and communicating will bring huge opportunities in the technology industry. Technology will be leading our future, and there is no better time to invest in it than the present.

International Markets

IMF’s Managing Director Kirstalina Georgieva said that, “Global growth will turn sharply negative in 2020” due to COVID-19, and she was not wrong. Mercatus predicts that the US GDP will contract by 10% due to the first two months of the COVID-19 lockdowns, and the World Trade Organization expects global trade to fall by 13% – 32% this year.

Adding on to that, the United Nations expects global GDP to fall by 1% this year, all due to the pandemic we are currently facing. However, as many countries are slowly starting to recover from the pandemic and opening up their economies, there is a glimpse of a silver lining. US markets were looking stronger in April and May following widespread disarray and panic in March, and in June, the S&P 500 turned positive. Despite this, the US is still cautious, and as several states are reopening their economies, fears of a second wave of infections are reflecting in the stock market. These fears of a second wave are solidified by an increase in cases being reported in China, sparking fears of a lockdown in the business hub of Beijing, and infection rates are beginning to spike once again in the US.

Truly, the only thing that will stabilize markets for the long-run is a vaccine for COVID-19, which does not seem to be near in sight. However, if a second wave does happen, the world is better prepared for it – given that we have already gone through a first wave, many professionals are aware of the best practices, and will better contain the virus. Though futures indicate that the Dow Jones will fall by 500 points and the S&P has already fallen by 1.8% this week, there is hope that once the fear of a second wave calms down, markets will return to somewhat normal numbers.

Is it safe to invest?

Though the world is in a state of uncertainty right now, it would not be a good idea to halt your trading journey at once. There is no end in sight for this pandemic, and so, though it is not the most ideal place to be trading, it should not stop one from doing so as well. Taking Warren Buffet’s advice, who has survived many recessions, it is a good time to find undervalued businesses at good prices. With technology seeming to lead our future, it is a good time to seek out stocks in the tech industry, especially ones that have high potential yet have not reflected in its stock prices. Especially important is the philosophy of buying stocks over time. Especially now that prices are lower, it is a good rule of thumb to keep buying stocks at low prices and wait a longer period of time for those stocks to increase in price. Additionally, one should not wait for the prices to bottom out, as this is near-impossible to predict. Keep buying stocks until the trend turns upward, and wait for the price to go up enough to make up for any losses.

Though now may not be the most ideal time to begin, there isn’t a bad situation where you cannot find any good. At such a critical time, it is important to do your research, carefully analyze the market, and avoid making rash decisions. As Buffet once said, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful” – though this should not be taken to the extreme, it serves as a reminder to see the upside to any negative situation, and turn seemingly negative situations into positive ones.


This article is a continuation of the Going Global series. If you haven’t read the global articles, check it out here:

Going Global: How do I Start Trading Internationally?
Going Global: A Deeper Look at the US Markets
Cryptocurrency: The Money of Our Future?

The Going Global series aims to introduce traders, whether beginners or advanced, to the international stock markets. Throughout this series, we will explore the pros and cons of international investing, how to kickstart your international portfolio, and many more tips to navigate this more complex trading world.

Subscribe to our Newsletter

Join our mailing list for investing tips and stock market advice
to help you reach your first million.

You have Successfully Subscribed!